I understand what the example is trying to get across they just explained it poorly. .
They are trying to explain the principle behind card counting, which is to know what cards are left in the pack and that for each event we have to recalculate the odds to better the chances of choosing correctly over many choices.
Th difference is blackjack has an element of randomness, the dealer does not choose which card will come up.
Because I look at it like this. There’s 3 race horses and 1 gets scratched. Your chances have gone from 33% to 50% now. Odds 1 in 2 to win now.
My definition of event . The choice is the event.
I understand what the example is trying to get across they just explained it poorly. .
They are trying to explain the principle behind card counting, which is to know what cards are left in the pack and that for each event we have to recalculate the odds to better the chances of choosing correctly over many choices.
Th difference is blackjack has an element of randomness, the dealer does not choose which card will come up.
Monty Hall knows which door has the car.
That’s exactly right. The example that was given isn’t comparable to counting cards because it’s done in a different format.
Sorry if I don’t make sense because of lack of sleep.