• Chainweasel@lemmy.world
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      4 days ago

      Late October, Netanyahu will do whatever he can to help Trump win.

      Let’s not forget that they bailed on ceasefire talks a few weeks ago because former president, and private citizen, Donald Trump violated the Logan Act by calling Netanyahu and telling him not to accept the ceasefire.

    • dutchkimble@lemy.lol
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      4 days ago

      Yeah how the fuck is this moving from Gaza, already a fucked up goings on in the world, to more and more of Lebanon? Why are governments of other countries still supporting this? What the actual fuck?

    • Andy@slrpnk.net
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      4 days ago

      Netanyahu is. The Israeli public is highly racist, but much less enthusiastic about total war than Bibi. Unfortunately, they don’t get a say. This isn’t a democracy.

      • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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        4 days ago

        I guess we’ll never know, huh?

        If tomorrow Netanyahu get removed from office, there are probably 10 or 12 other genocidal war-mongers who could take his place.

        I agree that the Israeli public is far more split on this issue, but the ultra nationalists have a pretty strong hold on power.

    • nonailsleft@lemm.ee
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      4 days ago

      I always wonder when people post this: how exactly would this go down?

      Say when Iran sends troops/ships/whatever to support Hezbollah and get into a fight with the US, which other parties with significant military power would side with them? Russia is tied up and probably incapable, North Korea would be unlikely to want to commit suicide by using their nukes over this, …

      Perhaps Erdogan would be the most realistic one but I don’t think their military would be very eager to follow those orders

      • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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        4 days ago

        Turkey is a NATO member, they might talk a good game, but they aren’t going to act against US interests. The blowback would be catastrophic for Erdogan and Turkey.

      • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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        4 days ago

        how exactly would this go down?

        Israeli expansion draws a bigger fish into the conflict. Perhaps they start attacking Syria or Iran more directly. Perhaps they start bombing into Saudi Arabia or Jordan. Perhaps we see another collapse of the Egyptian military dictatorship due to unrest, and the replacement government isn’t nearly as Israel-friendly as the current regime.

        Then the US has to intercede. But as the US intercedes in the Middle East, it draws in more countries - fighting breaks out in Iraq to expel what remains of the US military presence, fighting breaks out between Greece and Turkey again as US naval assets are withdrawn from the region, Russia capitalizes on US arms assets slowing down in Ukraine and makes a big push into Kiev. The US has military bases all over the world, so you don’t have to travel far in order to pull off a USS Cole style bombing.

        You can see this spiral into a global conflict easily enough. We’re already seeing low-key upheavels all through the central African states, the disputed territory of Kashmir, and the Chinese/Japanese contested ocean territories. When the Primary Imperial Power is engaged in too many fronts at once, that creates a lot of room for the various minor powers to reassert themselves.

        • nonailsleft@lemm.ee
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          4 days ago

          Saudi Arabia is an enemy of Iran in the region, and Jordan even helped Israel intercept Iranian missiles. Why would Israel ever attack its allies in that conflict?

          And Israel has been expanding into the West Bank since like '67. What changed that that would suddenly ‘draw in bigger fish’ now?

        • FlowVoid@lemmy.world
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          4 days ago

          Israel has already fought multiple wars with its neighbors, and the US never interceded (if by that you mean “sent US troops”). In fact, the whole purpose of arming Israel is partly so their soldiers do the fighting instead of Americans. I think the US expects Israel to handle Iran as it did Egypt, Jordan, Syria etc.

          The US doesn’t really care about Central Africa or Kashmir, it has no strategic interests in those regions. So any wars fought there (and again, there have already been a few) will be mostly ignored by the US.

          The US cares a lot about China, so this is the only place it might send its own US forces. But those will mostly be US Navy, since it doesn’t need to occupy new territory. And the Navy isn’t really needed elsewhere.

          • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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            4 days ago

            Israel has already fought multiple wars with its neighbors, and the US never interceded

            The US has been sending military aid, military advisors, and military assets into the region around Israel for over 80 years. The US has stationed two different carrier groups to support the Israeli invasion of Gaza.

            • FlowVoid@lemmy.world
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              4 days ago

              Right, which is why I specified “send US troops”. That’s not going to happen, so they remain available for a potential conflict with China.

              The US sent two carrier groups in October. Both have already returned home.

      • Maalus@lemmy.world
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        4 days ago

        When Iran joins the war in full capacity, the US needs to give them full attention. That leaves Taiwan open for grabs. Which they also need full attention for. Then there’s still Ukraine and Russia making plays. I imagine if Russia ever wins in Ukraine, and there are wars happening in the Middle East, Taiwan, elsewhere, then they might make a play on the Baltics for instance. So US now has 3 fronts to deal with against multiple nuclear powers. And that is of course as long as the US stays the course and doesn’t end up isolating from the rest of the world.

        World wars happened because of a series of alliances pulling multiple countries into a large, singular war. Israel provoking multiple of their neighbors by attacking them and commiting genocide can absolutely draw the world into a war.

        • nonailsleft@lemm.ee
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          4 days ago

          Even if your crazy scenario would play out (Europe giving up the Baltics? The US fighting a conventional war against China?), how would you put that on Israel for responding to Hezbollah’s attacks? Iran tying up the US who you seem to see as ‘World Police’ and not those other countries just itching to attack their neighbours?

          • Maalus@lemmy.world
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            4 days ago

            If you think 2024 exists in a vacuum and that Israel has no part in the “tensions” in the region, then there isn’t much to talk about.

            • nonailsleft@lemm.ee
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              4 days ago

              Sure. On the other hand: if your bottom line position is that Israel should dissapear and ‘everything goes’ until that happens, a) there are a lot of other countries where that case can be made and b) I don’t think everyone killing everyone would be the thing that prevents WW3

      • Deceptichum@quokk.au
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        4 days ago

        Probably China over estimating itself in Taiwan and hoping the US is too bogged down in Israel/Ukraine.

  • Andy@slrpnk.net
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    4 days ago

    You know what would to be really, REALLY uncomfortable?

    If Harris loses, there’s a strong chance that it might be over this terrible war. What a stupid, stupid reason to have to live through another Trump presidency.

    • ArcaneSlime@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      4 days ago

      Hey at least he could never win again, silver lining lol. Then all we have to do is kill him when he tries to go dictator which honestly shouldn’t be that hard, the nearest secret service agent may even do it…extrajudiciously.

      (I have a pet theory that one of the functions of the secret service is to quickly turn from bodyguards to assassins if a dictatorial president does attempt a real take over. I mean, why not? if it isn’t it should be.)

    • MinFapper@startrek.website
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      4 days ago

      What a stupid, stupid reason to have to live through another Trump presidency and continue the war unchanged.

      FTFY

      • chuckleslord@lemmy.world
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        4 days ago

        What a stupid, stupid reason to have to live through another Trump presidency and continue the war, with even more support than ever.

        FTFY

        Evangelicals like the genocide, brings their death cult closer to its end.

      • OccamsTeapot@lemmy.world
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        4 days ago

        Putin is a cunt and Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine must be stopped.

        If I was on Russia’s payroll that should be enough to get me arrested or at least fired.

        So either I’m risking my safety OOOOORRRR not everyone opposed to Biden’s support for Israel is a Russian bot. Golly gosh I wonder which one it is

        • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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          4 days ago

          If I was on Russia’s payroll that should be enough to get me arrested or at least fired.

          You don’t need to be on Russia’s payroll to spew pro-Putin talking points. Plenty of American oligarchs will foot the bill.

          So either I’m risking my safety

          Its so crazy to be listening to a podcast interview with Daniel Santiago while reading this.

          • OccamsTeapot@lemmy.world
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            4 days ago

            You don’t need to be on Russia’s payroll to spew pro-Putin talking points

            You know, if criticizing killing is a “pro-Putin talking point,” then pro Putin talking points clearly aren’t always bad? Should I be in favour of murder to really show how much I hate Putin? Literally what the fuck are you talking about

            I agree with Putin that the sky is blue too. I’m expecting my rubles in the mail any day now.

            • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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              4 days ago

              You know, if criticizing killing is a “pro-Putin talking point,” then pro Putin talking points clearly aren’t always bad?

              If they are Pro-Putin, they must be bad. Or possibly an evil trick, trying to fool me into thinking Russians aren’t a D&D monster race that is ontological evil.

              Should I be in favour of murder to really show how much I hate Putin?

              I mean, the real irony of all this is in how politically tight Putin and Netanyahu have been over the last twenty years. What’s more, the over 80k Russian Jews migrating to Israel since the start of Russia-Ukraine hostilities have been at the forefront of the Israeli settler movement over the same period of time.

              So… you could kinda sorta see a line between these two countries and their respective wars on their neighbors.

              But that kind of analysis sends pro-Israel / anti-Russia journalists into a confused and angry spiral. So we go out of our way to avoid conflating these conflicts at every opportunity.

              I agree with Putin that the sky is blue too. I’m expecting my rubles in the mail any day now.

              Сила есть, ума не надо

        • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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          4 days ago

          Sarcasm.

          But we’re posting under a link to The Intercept. I’m surprised we don’t have more folks saying it sincerely, given how critical the paper has been of the Biden administration.

          • OccamsTeapot@lemmy.world
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            4 days ago

            Ah I see. Usually I’m not in favour of the sarcasm tag (ruins the joke) but it would have really helped here, lol.

      • mlg@lemmy.world
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        4 days ago

        Liberal DNC shills when Americans don’t blindly support a centrist corporate lobby party in disguise:

  • BestBouclettes@jlai.lu
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    4 days ago

    Lebanese civilians and Lebanese homes are Hezbollah. It worked in Gaza, why wouldn’t it work in Lebanon.