politics @lemmy.world · 5 months ago

Donald Trump's chances of winning election slump after RNC speech

www.newsweek.com

137

327

Donald Trump's chances of winning election slump after RNC speech

www.newsweek.com

mozz@mbin.grits.dev to

politics @lemmy.world · 5 months ago

137

The odds of Trump securing victory over Biden have lengthened from 2/5 on Thursday to 8/15 on Friday, according to William Hill.

I have no idea about William Hill. But the odds they describe sound about right to me, and the Nate Silver thing and the summary of Trump’s speech sound informative

inb4 BIDEN COPIUM HAHAHA etc and etc

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5 months ago
The article says P(Biden wins) < P(Harris wins). It isn’t saying anything directly about P(Biden nominated) or P(Biden wins | Biden nominated) but it does imply that P(Biden nominated) is low.

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