• NounsAndWords@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    I don’t like the Reddit ownership which is exactly why I switched to here…but this article is a month old, they priced their IPO at $34 and it’s currently selling at $55

    Obviously this doesn’t mean it can’t change in the future, but it very much has not tanked.

    • Ashyr@sh.itjust.works
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      8 months ago

      I’m not a stock expert, but given its historic lack of profitability, that value has to be primarily speculative based on its usefulness for training ai.

      I would expect to see that number fall eventually.

      • Hyperreality@kbin.social
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        8 months ago

        I assume it’s also priced that way because it can be used for propaganda.

        Legacy media, hasn’t made a profit for years? There’s always some rich fascist cunt or nasty foreign government willing to buy it for more than it’s worth so they can push their agenda.

        It’s not about making money for them. It’s about power and influence.

          • Hyperreality@kbin.social
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            8 months ago

            My government isn’t particularly nasty, especially compared to some of the worst autocratic regimes, because they’re worried about the next election.

            Sucks if that isn’t the case for you.

      • Addv4@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Or just as a marker of how reliant a lot of web denizens are to adding reddit to end of their search for more relevant user generated data. Either way, it’s numbers will fall, as a lot of the more recent data often isn’t correct.

      • Zippy@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Their capitalization was I believe around 8 billion. This is the number they need to understandably recover from an investment point of view. If I was an investor in a risky type of investment like this. Risky mainly in that it could be a dog forever, I would want to see 25 prevent profit in their financial statements relatively quick.

        I am saying this all from an investment point of view of the people that now own it. More or less, Reddit needs to start showning profits of some 1.6 billion a year. That likely means they need 10 or 10s if billions in revenue per year. That will give you an idea what they will be developing and how advertising will need to be excessive. They will go the way of tiktok and other platforms in that emotional and divisive algorithms increase viewership.

    • gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works
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      8 months ago

      The stock price is gonna get juiced for a bit, and then when the blackout period expires, lots of people are going to sell and the price will drop off a cliff. It’s a pretty common pattern in tech. I’m kinda expecting it to happen with Reddit.

    • ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de
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      8 months ago

      Robinhood went public at around $38 a share, climbed its first couple weeks to over $55, then dropped like a rock to like $8 a share. Also look into Beyond Meats.

      A lot of big name recognition companies have this happen to them during bull markets. There’s an initial run up, followed by a massive over correction and things don’t stabilize for at least 6 months after the drop off. As well as reddit is known, it’s going to be a hard rug pull.

          • ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de
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            8 months ago

            Be in the market a while and everyone’s lost their ass on a thing or two. You slowly and painfully learn to take the L and bail out of stuff sooner. That helps.

            Then sometimes things are just completely out of your control and something happens to a company overnight and you just get obliterated before you/ your broker is able to do anything about it.

    • ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de
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      8 months ago

      What’s really interesting is how interested people are in buying puts right now. Today was the first day available to do so. I bought mine pretty early in the day and paid $460 per while the stock price was at $51.

      Well it was over $60 by the end of the day, but my put call, instead of drastically going down in value like it should have, was actually selling for $580.

      So many people are after puts against reddit that even as the stock went up another 18% throughout the day, puts were continuing to be bought at higher and higher prices.

      So now my options are worth $120 a piece over what I bought them for, while reddit jumped another 30% in value from opening this morning to right now where it’s sitting at $62.90