Sure, an AI watches 30k hours of video games and is heralded, but when I watch 30k hours of video games, I need to “move out and make something” of myself.
In Graphic Design, technology removed a lot of specialists. Used to be you needed a type guy, a colour guy, an art director, and an illustrator for each and every project.
Now that’s all the same guy.
Same thing is going to happen to coders I think. Look around at your team, think of everything they are currently doing, then understand that soon these will all be your sole responsibility.
I actually don’t see that as a bad thing other than in the loss of jobs.
All the best games were things made by fewer people not more. The best game ever, Dwarf Fortress, is entirely done by 1 guy.
It would be nice if it caused a return of teams of 3 guys in a garage creating and shipping software
Soon we’ll have The Mind Game from Ender’s Game:
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As a programmer, I do a lot more than just write code.
Saying that AI is going to take my job is kinda like saying a brick laying robot will take all the construction jobs.
Hey, AI is pretty good at attending meetings. It still needs to learn how to drink coffee, though!
/joke
But seriously though, machines did end up replacing a lot of jobs. They added some jobs too, but I don’t know how the ratio is.
It’s not that I don’t think AI will replace jobs. It’s just that programming is so much more than just writing code.
An LLM, which is the best thing we have right now, doesn’t understand concepts. And most of my job is taking problems and figuring out the best solution given a whole massive heap of context. That’s not something an LLM will ever be able to do.
Until we have something like general AI, my job is safe.
“replace” is, as always, oversimplified… the job of programming will likely change for sure. programming languages will be built around AI generation, and programming will become prompt creation that looks at the big picture rather than the minutiae of code: just like it did when we stopped coding in ASM and started coding in higher order languages, or scripting languages, etc
It all just moves up a level really, I’m the lead at my company and writing code is maybe like 25% of what we do. A lot of it is about connecting different services, physical product inventories, other company integrations , taking customized requests from the CEO, identifying where things are and why they are laid out this way.
I work at an E-commerce company, however we have four buildings and do a lot of manufacturing and distribution. Multiple connected websites, internal and external, wikis, inventory programs and then multiply that by other companies integrations.
I’m just saying, when it comes down to it, it’s gonna take awhile for an AI to do that. Sure it’s gonna be great at writing some sick for loops and generations 95% of a full script, but that has to be connected to real world things, other assets outside of the scope of web development.
not to mention reading to make sure there isn’t a “fucks up your day on a leap year” error
it’ll eventually get there, but we’re a while off
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Like with every new tech AI will just make things easier.
