We’ll have to see stats after the fact, but I feel pretty confident that nearly every Republican will vote for Trump just like they did in 2020. He did absolutely nothing surprising or out of character after the election, so if he lost support over it then people really had no clue who they were voting for despite four years showing exactly who he was. Republicans are much more loyal. Nearly every democrat voted for Biden too, but he’s actively doing things to piss off the base and if anything does manage to energize support for him it will be Trump, not Biden himself (Bo Burnham summarized things nicely). Democrats won’t likely vote for Trump but there will probably be more protest votes than there were, or people who don’t bother.
We’ll have to see stats after the fact, but I feel pretty confident that nearly every Republican will vote for Trump just like they did in 2020. He did absolutely nothing surprising or out of character after the election, so if he lost support over it then people really had no clue who they were voting for despite four years showing exactly who he was. Republicans are much more loyal. Nearly every democrat voted for Biden too, but he’s actively doing things to piss off the base and if anything does manage to energize support for him it will be Trump, not Biden himself (Bo Burnham summarized things nicely). Democrats won’t likely vote for Trump but there will probably be more protest votes than there were, or people who don’t bother.