• AbsoluteChicagoDog@lemm.ee
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    4 hours ago

    Scientists estimate that 2024 YR4 is between 130 to 300 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide, large enough to cause localized devastation near the impact site. The asteroid responsible for the Tunguska event of 1908, which leveled some 500 square miles (1,287 square kilometers) of forest in remote Siberia, was probably about the same size.

    So nothing to worry about

  • DarkFuture@lemmy.world
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    9 hours ago

    Panic?

    I’m crossing my fingers for the wellbeing of the universe. We’re awful.

  • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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    11 hours ago

    That’s 0.9% more than the last time I checked. I know those are still really low odds, but we can hope…

    • psud
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      5 hours ago

      One of the things they’re doing is calculating what it’s orbit would have to be to hit the Earth, and where it would have had to have been on its last orbit to be in that orbit

      So they can look at any astronomical images of that part of the sky from then and see if it’s in the right place

      If they find images of the right part of the sky at the right time and the asteroid is not in it, they know it’s not on an orbit that will hit the Earth in 2032

    • xor@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      10 hours ago

      don’t worry, it’ll just be like a small nuke, not a planet killer… (until they update the size estimates)

  • InFerNo@lemmy.ml
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    12 hours ago

    If we are able to nudge an asteroid, would an asteroid of this size nudge the earth?

    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      11 hours ago

      Technically the solar system is a multi-body system, and everything nudges everything else, but the mass of the earth is far greater than the mass of the asteroid, to the point that it doesn’t matter.

    • psud
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      5 hours ago

      It’s not big enough to fix anything. If it hits, it won’t hit America or Europe

      It’s in the big nuke scale of energy, enough to do a lot of damage to a small area. Were it to hit a city, the city would need a lot of rebuilding. Were it to hit, few people would be in danger as we will have years of warning. The only people in the impact area would be “storm chasers” travelling to see the impact

  • GrumpyDuckling@sh.itjust.works
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    9 hours ago

    I wonder if the “important” people know the chances are higher, so they’re going for broke in order to build their escape ship.