Summary
Far-right leaders are gaining globally, with Trumpās victory in the US presidential election echoing trends in Hungary, India, and other countries.
Donald Trumpās 2024 victory marks a historic first where he won the U.S. popular vote, supported by diverse groups including young, Black, and Latino voters, as well as the working classāa reversal from previous elections.
This win aligns with global far-right gains, reflecting voter frustration with economic hardships and liberal policies.
Analysts argue that the far rightās appeal lies in its āpolitics of existential revenge,ā which vilifies minority groups and offers imaginary disasters as scapegoats.
I simply refuse to believe this because it just doesnāt make sense. If these voters arenāt low-information voters, theyād know that Trump plans to increase their expenses by about $400 per month. Theyād know that Musk has already said he plans on making things exponentially worse. Theyād know that Trump literally has no economic plan besides āget rid of the brown people.ā And they either voted for him or decided to stay home anyway? That doesnāt make the first bit of sense.
This is my point. The policies werenāt the problem. Dem policies such as abortion did just fine. The āold white guyā thing mysteriously disappeared once Biden dropped out of the race, and now people are saying we could have avoided this by putting up an even older white guy. They certainly didnāt like Trumpās policies because Trump doesnāt have any and Project 2025 is wildly unpopular. All 50 states went significantly redder.
It certainly wasnāt because of policy. Dems did just fine there.
It wasnāt because of downticket. Senate and House races went largely as predicted.
It wasnāt because Biden was old. Trump is virtually the same age and Bernie is even older.
Itās not the economy. Trump plans to make things worse.
The excuses that people are giving just do not make the least bit of sense when up against even a minimum amount of scrutiny. We have people saying āwomen are propertyā, āyour body, my choiceā, sending texts to Latinos telling them to pack their bags, and telling black people to report for slave duty. We donāt have people out there celebrating āthe economy is gonna be great again!ā.
āthe economyā is a convenient excuse for people who just donāt want to admit they refuse to vote for a black woman. If the āeconomyā is a concern, you donāt vote for the guy whoās planning on increasing your expenses by thousands of dollars per year.
They definitely are low information voters. When people hear things they donāt like from people they do like, they always assume itās not going to hurt them until it actually does. This might eventually work if they heard it enough, but they never will and donāt care enough to pursue the information on their own.
In terms of the old white man thing, I think itās fair to say that while people say they donāt want old people running, what they really mean is old people who arenāt all there. This should eliminate Trump, but heās never seemed all there and heās had a more shallow decline than Biden. Bernie doesnāt meet this qualification because heās still as sharp as ever. Bidenās decline was shockingly fast and even turned liberals away despite his government still operating
I did get the very strong vibe from undecided voters that they really wanted to vote for Trump but couldnāt tell anyone the reason was racism or sexism because they care too much about their image with liberals or their own self-image.
That all being said, a trending search term on election day was, āDid Joe Biden drop out?ā So clearly, the low information problem should be doing some heavy lifting in our conclusions.