A new Morning Consult poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally, 51% to 45%.
Key takeaway: “Her 51% of support among likely voters, which is also at a record high, is driven largely by her best figures to date among Democrats, Biden 2020 voters, liberals, women, 18- to 34-year-olds and millennials.
Oct 2016
Biggest difference between then and now is that people now know exactly what they will get into with Trump this time around. Back then, a lot of undecided voters and third -party voters were willing to give him a chance.
That’s a very interesting poll because in the end HRC got 48 percent of the vote, or 2 percentage points more than in this poll, while DT got 46 percent, 11 percent more than in the poll. One explanation could be that undecided, Johnson and Stein voters changed their minds and (mostly) voted for Trump.
These numbers were also before the Anthony Weiner laptop revelations that Jim Comey dumped on the American public just days before the election.
Bingo! People keep saying Clinton was ahead as well. Unless there’s a nasty October Surprise for Harris, she’s looking good.
Trump was also still somewhat of an unknown quantity at that point. Everyone knows how they feel about him now.