This is the first poll taken after the conviction, and has us at 41% Biden/39% Trump

Actual voting preferences differ only slightly from one the same pollster took in early May, which had us at 35% Biden/36% Trump.

Having a solid sense of how the conviction will impact things will likely take a week or so as news percolates and people talk.

I’ll also note that these to polls are polls of adults, which tend to favor Trump by a little bit more than polls of registered voters or of likely voters.

Archived copies of the article: archive.today ghostarchive.org

    • Wrench@lemmy.world
      6·
      6 months ago

      Polls are only good for confirmation bias.

      It’s trivial to game a poll via phrasing and user selection.

      Here on lemmy, polls are only used as evidence if it confirms the poster’s biases. Otherwise, they’re waved off as unreliable.

    • silence7@slrpnk.netOP
      1·
      6 months ago

      They’re enough to tell us that we’re seeing a little bit of movement in response to Trump’s guilty verdict, and that the election is close enough that it could easily go either way

      • anticolonialist@lemmy.worldEnglish
        01·
        6 months ago

        So we will hold that same standard in a few days when fresh polling comes out showing Trump still beating Biden?