This is the first poll taken after the conviction, and has us at 41% Biden/39% Trump

Actual voting preferences differ only slightly from one the same pollster took in early May, which had us at 35% Biden/36% Trump.

Having a solid sense of how the conviction will impact things will likely take a week or so as news percolates and people talk.

I’ll also note that these to polls are polls of adults, which tend to favor Trump by a little bit more than polls of registered voters or of likely voters.

Archived copies of the article: archive.today ghostarchive.org

  • Zaktor@sopuli.xyzEnglish
    3·
    6 months ago

    It’d take some work to bake this in so it doesn’t just revert to the norm and it doesn’t seem like Biden’s team wants to do that work. I have a real hard time figuring out how political experts theoretically at the top of their field just thought this was an event that should be met with a lowkey response. Polls have been saying this would affect people’s votes the whole time, they just need to exploit it rather than expect it to be self-evident to the voting population that this mattered.

    • SatanicNotMessianic@lemmy.ml
      2·
      6 months ago

      The issue is that that’s who Biden and leading members of the democrats are. They do not, in my opinion, have the framework to deal with a political campaign being an existential threat.