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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 13th, 2023

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  • I am going to operate under the following assumptions:
    -the current global trend towards authoritarian governments will continue and become more prevalent
    -balkanization will be the new norm: an atlas will show more numerous and smaller countries
    -climate change (extreme heat, extreme humidity and sea level rise) will make large regions functionally unfit for human habitation by reasons of lethal heat and/or humidity, loss of coastal access, lack of potable water and/or loss of sustainable agriculture.
    -we’ll be well into the technological curve for AI and robotics. We’ll have gone past the early stage where people over-estimate technological capabilities and far into the later stages where people will under-estimate technological capabilities
    -if cash is still legal, it will be useless for all legitimate transactions because no institution wants it. If it still exists, it will only be useful for peer-to-peer illegitimate transactions: crime, drugs and sex.
    -whatever is bad now will be worse

    So: social taboos that exist today that will not be taboo in 100 years?
    -slavery: we already see slavery in all but name in the form of privatized prisons and wage-slavery (work a soul-killing minimum wage job, or die/be homeless). What if the cost of being able to emigrate from a country or region that is uninhabitable is slavery, whether real or de facto? It’s the cheapest form of labor.
    -murder: being deemed outlaw will make a comeback. An outlaw is outside the protection of the law, so killing an outlaw is not a crime.
    -extortion: governments and government proxies (militias, death squads, religious sects) will exercise sanctioned extortion
    -hoarding: if you are living in an unstable balkan state or are an unpopular minority in one, hoarding will not be pathologic
    -civilian ownership of firearms
    -racism and nationalism; best way to keep out undesirable climate refugees is to de-humanize them
    -corporations being into every piece of the pie: a logical extension of the trend to privatization or “wanting government to be run like a business” is the replacement of nation-states by corporations or zaibatsu-like alliances of multiple corporations