Need to let loose a primal scream without collecting footnotes first? Have a sneer percolating in your system but not enough time/energy to make a whole post about it? Go forth and be mid: Welcome to the Stubsack, your first port of call for learning fresh Awful youāll near-instantly regret.
Any awful.systems sub may be subsneered in this subthread, techtakes or no.
If your sneer seems higher quality than you thought, feel free to cutānāpaste it into its own post ā thereās no quota for posting and the bar really isnāt that high.
The post Xitter web has spawned soo many āesotericā right wing freaks, but thereās no appropriate sneer-space for them. Iām talking redscare-ish, reality challenged āculture criticsā who write about everything but understand nothing. Iām talking about reply-guys who make the same 6 tweets about the same 3 subjects. Theyāre inescapable at this point, yet I donāt see them mocked (as much as they should be)
Like, there was one dude a while back who insisted that women couldnāt be surgeons because they didnāt believe in the moon or in stars? I think each and every one of these guys is uniquely fucked up and if I canāt escape them, I would love to sneer at them.
(Credit and/or blame to David Gerard for starting thisā¦)
I feel like some of the doomers are already setting things up to pivot when their most major recent prophecy (AI 2027) fails:
From here:
It starts with some rationalist jargon to say the author agrees but one year laterā¦
Further walking the timeline back, adding qualifiers and exceptions that the authors of AI 2027 somehow didnāt explain before. Also, the reason AI 2027 didnāt have any mention of Trump blowing up the timeline doing insane shit is because Scott (and maybe some of the other authors, idk) like glazing Trump.
No shit, that is what every software engineering blogging about LLMs (even the credulous ones) say, even allowing LLMs get better at raw code writing! Maybe this author is better in touch with reality than most lesswrongersā¦
Nope, they still have insane expectations.
Then why did you bother writing this? Anyway, I feel like this author has set themselves up to claim credit when itās December 2027 and none of AI 2027ās predictions are true. Theyāll exaggerate their āquibblesā into successful predictions of problems in the AI 2027 timeline, while overlooking the extent to which they agreed.
Iāll give this author +10 bayes points for noticing Trump does unpredictable batshit stuff, and -100 for not realizing the real reason why Scott didnāt include any call out of that in AI 2027.
Has someone on LW already proposed a BayesCoin or have I just figured out how to steal lunch money from all rationalists at once
With a name like that and lesswrong to springboard itās popularity, BayesCoin should be good for at least one cycle of pump and dump/rug-pull.
Do some actual programming work (or at least write a āwhite paperā) on tying it into a prediction market on the blockchain and youāve got rationalist catnip, they should be all over it, you could do a few cycles of pumping and dumping before the final rug pull.
Without looking it up i can tell you that coin already exists and the value has crashed already
itās a fucking harry potter reference
HP fanfic but house points are crypto and the chocolate frog cards are NFTs tracked on a magical blockchain
Non Fungible Toads
Edit: this is a nonsequitur, but my wife just shared this with me and it is delightful