Summary

Chinese President Xi Jinping is unlikely to attend President-elect Donald Trump’s January 20 inauguration, citing risks and protocol concerns, experts say.

Trump extended the invitation, but analysts argue Xi would avoid being perceived as a subordinate guest and risks linked to potential U.S. policy shifts, including tariffs or Taiwan diplomacy.

Trump’s return is expected to escalate U.S.-China tensions, with Beijing adopting a cautious stance amid his selection of China hawks for key positions.

Experts predict an eventual Trump-Xi meeting but warn of a continued mix of confrontation and engagement.