Squeezed by high interest rates and record prices, homeowners are frozen in place. They can’t sell. So first-time buyers can’t buy.
If buying a home is an inexorable part of the American dream, so is the next step: eventually selling that home and using the equity to trade up to something bigger.
But over the past two years, this upward mobility has stalled as buyers and sellers have been pummeled by three colliding forces: the highest borrowing rates in nearly two decades, a crippling shortage of inventory, and a surge in home prices to a median of $434,000, the highest on record, according to Redfin.
People who bought their starter home a few years ago are finding themselves frozen in place by what is known as the “rate-lock effect” — they bought when interest rates were historically low, and trading up would mean a doubling or tripling of their monthly interest payments.
They are locked in, and as a result, families hoping to buy their first homes are locked out.
I wonder how many 1-2 bedroom homes are being gobbled up by baby boomers. I was often out bid by boomers who were downsizing, and had all cash from a 3 to 4 bedroom home sale.
The two groups of people that want small 2 bedroom homes are new home owners and downsizing retired people. And one of those groups has a shit load of equity that they can cash in on.
You’re forgetting landlords (of all sizes)
It’s extremely common in my generation to sit on their first house to rent out as passive income, and plenty of private investment absorbing starter homes to rent as well
More specially, investment groups.
When a monthly mortgage and monthly rent are about the same in a market, then your average Joe Schmoe, will only make money if they’re speculating on a neighborhood. Buy low, let the renter cover the mortgage, sell when the neighborhood comes up.
Wall Street doesn’t need to speculate. Investment groups can buy with cash and the rent coming in is all additive.
I specifically included individual home owners who sit on their properties to rent instead.
If we’re talking about retired couples downsizing into starters and established families not up-sizing as a part of the larger market dynamics, then homeowners hording their starter home are just as much of a problem.
Investment groups are a much larger problem for sure, but even the smaller players contribute to the larger market trends.
Depends on the market / part of the country through. Hoarding a starter home can be hard to pull off in a lot of markets. Many people usually need to sell the first house in order to cobble fun the 20% down on a larger, more expensive, home.
But young professionals who have stayed in their starter for more than 6 or 7 years typically have far more expendable income than when they first signed their mortgage, and can afford to save enough to put down 10 or 20 percent on a newer house (typically further out where the cost/sf is lower) without having to use the proceeds of a sale
1/4 of all homes in the Fort Worth area of Texas are owned by private corporations. That seems like a good place to start making changes.
Roughly 90% of residential homes in NYC are owned by corporations
Boomers have been much slower to downsize compared with previous generations. Many are getting snatched up by landlords.
Perhaps. Although I lost a LOT of offers to boomers who wanted small 2 bedroom with no stairs.